greenspun.com : LUSENET : TimeBomb 2000 (Y2000) : One Thread

The latest opinions of the experts is posted. You can read it for yourself at


What do they think? Of a score of 1-10, throwing out one high at 10, anf one low at 1, the average of the other 19 is that the seriousness of Y2k meltdown is 7.1. Interesting to compare this with what many of the folks visiting this list state in their opinions under Gayla's thread ("And what about you?") above.

-- Joseph (jbabinsk@theriver.com), October 07, 1998


Looking at "...how the experts are selected" do you think it's possible to put together a 'loaded' group of experts, and keep it loaded?

I'd like to see more updated opinions. Lots of June stuff there.

-- Mike (gartner@execpc.com), October 07, 1998.

Meaningless. 1 to 10 against what? The Chicago fire, Hurricane Andrew, World War Three ? These figures mean whatever you want them to mean. Myself, I expect considerable inconvience over a period of three to six months, scattered around from about the end of August to the middle of May. Perhaps a short recession due to Y2K - perhaps not. We will see soon enough. BTW - the old definition of expert seems to have fallen by the wayside - expert used to mean someone with real experience with the matter at hand - no one can have experience with Y2K as it happens only once (staggered out perhaps, but each date happens only one time and has its own peculiar set of problems) and thus there are no real 'experts' on Y2K. Everyone, including me, is just guessing. At least I am willing to admit it.

-- Paul Davis (davisp1953@yahoo.com), October 07, 1998.

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