After reading through Yardeni's site, I wondered about the state of Y2K compliance for the U.S.'s principal trading partners. About 65-70% of our total import/export trade is with the following countries:

Canada, Japan, Mexico, China, U.K., Germany, Taiwan, South Korea, France, and Singapore.

Now, aside from general 'gloom and doom', has anyone tried to quantify how each of these countries is doing in its respective remediation efforts, the associated probabilities of success, a general estimate on the potential economic impact of non-compliance for each of the above nations?

The following link gave good information on overall trade numbers, as well as categories of trade goods and associated dollar amounts.

http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/sitc1/

-- Ed Condron (ecokc@home.com), November 15, 1998

Answers

Ed,

Some data for your question may be found at this link, which provides projected failure rates by country and sector:

Gartner Group Y2k Compliance Projections

-- Nathan (nospam@all.com), November 15, 1998.