CIA Report You Asked For

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Greg and anyone else who missed it,

Here is the text of the CIA Report that came out (guessing here) last spring. The URL is now expired. You'll just have to take my word for it. Its original form was a map image that you clicked on to get each country's outlook. I went to each country, copied and pasted the brief report, and compiled it into one document. I am pasting here from Clarisworks, and will try to clean it up as much as I can, but the formatting may be a problem.

The Central Intelligence Agencys Assessment of Y2K Preparedness in 19 nations around the world.

Unclassified report prepared by the MITRE Corp. for the CIA:

http://www.msnbc.com/modules/Y2KInternational/map_nestframe.asp

Canada At risk: Interruptions to imports/exports and oil shortages will be isolated but severe.

Notes: Costs to federal government -- $1.4 billion. About 25 percent of public utilities won't be ready until last half of 1999.

Mexico At risk: Interruptions to imports/exports will be isolated but severe.

Notes: Major corporations will spend $7.6 billion. Fewer than 25 percent have taken action. Only 34 percent are aware of the severity of the problem.

Brazil At risk: Interruptions to imports/exports will be isolated but severe.

Notes: Cost to government -- $600 million to $14 billion.

Argentina At risk: Possible interruptions to imports/exports and oil shortages will be isolated but severe.

Notes: $1.5 billion to be spent by major industries. Minor industries -- small and mid-sized firms -- have insufficient funds to deal with the problem.

Sweden At risk: Interruptions of government services likely. Interruptions to imports/exports will be isolated but severe.

Notes: February 1999 survey revealed a majority of power transmission and power trading companies had not completed their inventories of IT systems.

Germany At risk: Possible oil shortages, interruptions to imports/exports will be isolated but severe. Interruptions of government services will be severe in some locations.

Notes: Experts fear local, provincial governments are far behind in efforts. Minor industries late in recognizing the problem. Lufthansa will shut down all flights for 12 hours at the turn of the century.

United Kingdom At risk: Interruptions of government services likely. Interruptions to imports/exports will be isolated but severe.

Notes: Mixed reports regarding military preparedness. Air transportation cited as one of the worst examples of dealing with Y2K.

Italy At risk: Interruptions to imports/exports will be isolated but severe.

Notes: Cost to national government -- $1.5 billion

Saudi Arabia At risk: Air transportation interruptions likely. Interruptions to imports/exports, oil shortages will be isolated but severe. Interruptions of government services will be severe.

Notes: Status of CSS-2 missile system is unknown. Foreign military sales present a Y2K issue for U.S. military systems sold to Saudi Arabia.

Israel At risk: Interruptions to imports/exports will be isolated but severe.

Notes: Cost to national government -- est. $600-700 million.

South Africa At risk: Air transportation interruptions likely. Interruptions to imports/exports, oil shortages will be isolated but severe. Interruptions of government services likely.

Notes: Forty percent of local governments have inadequate action plans. Only 70 percent of national government anticipates being compliant by 2000. Banking industry well prepared.

Russia At risk: Power loss, telephone loss will be widespread. Interruptions to imports/exports will be severe. Interruptions of government services will be widespread and severe. Air transportation interruptions likely. Chance of unrest or bank panics is moderate.

Notes: Nuclear weapons claimed under control except for tracking weapons in inventory. Unified Energy Systems has no plans. Banks, finance, insurance firms slow to action. Association of Russian Banks bemoans "every man for himself approach."

China At risk: Power, phone loss will be widespread. Food, water, oil shortages will be isolated but severe. Interruption of government services will be both widespread and severe. Chance of unrest, bank panics is moderate. Notes: Modernizing missile forces, but Y2K implications not clear. Military vulnerable to likely mainframe problems. Business community slow to recognize problems.

India At risk: Possible oil shortages, interruptions to imports/exports will be isolated but severe. Interruptions of government services will be severe in some locations. Notes: Cost to national government -- $161 million.

Pakistan At risk: Power loss, telephone loss will be widespread. Interruptions to imports/exports will be severe. Interruptions of government services will be widespread and severe. Air transportation interruptions likely. Chance of unrest or bank panics is moderate.

North Korea At risk: Interruptions to imports/exports will be isolated but severe. Interruptions of government services will be severe. Air transportation interruptions likely.

South Korea At risk: Interruptions of government services likely. Interruptions to imports/exports will be isolated but severe.

Notes: Military setbacks expected due to lack of progress. Government slow at identifying systems in need of Y2K fixes.

Japan At risk: Interruptions to imports/exports and oil shortages will be isolated but severe. Interruptions of government services will be severe.

Notes: Perhaps 23 percent of telecom company NTT's 1,300 mainframe computers need repair. Projected cost to fix manufacturing computers is suspiciously low ($1-9 million).

Taiwan At risk: Interruptions of government services likely. Interruptions to imports/exports will be isolated but severe.

Notes: Government will shut down non-compliant banks. Seventy-seven percent of small- to mid-size companies are unaware or unable to deal with Y2K.

http://www.msnbc.com/modules/Y2KInternational/map_nestframe.asp

[The phrase "isolated but severe" kinda gets to you after a while, doesn't it? And remember, this is the unclassified

-- semper paratus (always@ready.here), September 22, 1999

Answers

MAJOR test of FAITH,coming-soon.JESUS said be faithful unto death;and recieve a crown.

-- semper fi delis. (dogs@zianet.com), September 22, 1999.

Thanks for this, but did you notice that VENEZUELA is missing? You know, the S.A. country that supplies about 1 million barrels of oil to the USA each day, of the 9 million total imported. Think the spooks didn't think that was relevant?

-- profit_of_doom (doom@helltopay.com), September 22, 1999.

Profit,

No, I think it is in the classified version.

-- semper paratus (always@ready.here), September 22, 1999.


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