Sorry for the repost...(I must have hit submit before I was done printing up the stats I found), but below are some of the stats from "Aviation Accidents" site. It doesn't seem to indicate more accidents than in past years in the month of Jan. A few posts down, several were discussing whether airline mishaps have increased, etc. Are they y2k related? Of course, we don't know for sure, but if someone could statistically show if there has been a substantial increase, it would help. Someone mentioned looking in the archives. I came across a posting Dec. 13 in which Arnold (?) posted the following site: www.ntsb.gov/aviation/aviation.htm (sorry, I don't know how to do links)

This site looks like a possible wealth of such info. There is a page that lists the years 1983-present, and you can click on the months to find charts that list NTBA Aviation accidents. The chart lists the location, aircraft type, and severity of the accident. I clicked on a few of the January listings and a couple of others. Here is what I found in my tallies... Jan. '83...206 accidents...of which 147 were non-fatal, 49 fatal with 103 fatalities and 5 listed as "incident

Jan. '86 ...178 accidents,of which 136 were non-fatal, 37 fatal with 84 fatalities and 5 "incidents"

Jan. '90...149 accidents with 118 being non-fatal, 27 listed as fatal with 123 fatalities and 4 listed as "incidents

Jan. '93... 126 accidents of which 94 were non-fatal, 22 listed as fatal with 42 fatalities and 10 "incidents"

Jan. '97 ...117 accidents with 87 listed as non-fatal, 24 as fatal with 77 fatalities and 6 "incidents"

Jan. '98...114 accidents with 100 listed as non-fatal, 6 as fatal with 40 fatalities and 10 listed as "incidents"

Dec. '98 ... 138 accidents with 101 as non-fatal, 27 listed as fatal with 42 fatalities and 10 listed as "incidents"

Jan. '99... 118 accidents with 86 as non-fatal, 20 as fatal with 32 fatalities and 12 "incidents"

Nov. '99 ... 129 accidents, 97 as non-fatal, 26 listed as fatal with 67 fatalities, and 6 listed as "incidents"

Dec. '99 ... 142 accidents, 105 as non-fatal, 31 listed as fatal with 86 fatalities and 6 as "incidents"

Jan. 2000...93 accidents with 63 listed as non-fatal, 28 as fatal with 143 fatalities (would have included Alaskan Airlines), and 2 listed as "incidents"

-- Jerri Faris (farisubah@aol.com), February 08, 2000

Answers

The interesting part is that we seem to be on the low side in terms of number of accidents while being on the high side in terms of fatalities. I wonder if any conclusion can be reasonably drawn from it, such as:

- more large aircraft have crashed - they rely a lot more on computer equipment than smaller ones - less small aircraft have crashed - they are less complex than larger ones - they may have been more thoroughly tested before rollover - etc, etc.

-- JD (cogito_ergo_sum@usa.net), February 08, 2000.

Glitch Central just came up with this link to 2000now that has a comparison from November 1, 1998 to January 31, 1999 with data from Nov. 1, 1999 to Jan. 31, 2000. The charts look identical to me...maybe even fewer for the current period.

http://www.2000now.org/airplane/

-- Rob (celtic64@inficad.com), February 08, 2000.

Try these two:

NASA

UK international record

-- Rachel Gibson (rgibson@hotmail.com), February 08, 2000.

Oops! Try again.

UK international

-- Rachel Gibson (rgibson@hotmail.com), February 08, 2000.